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Post by ben on Apr 19, 2018 12:07:14 GMT -5
Wondering if any of the stream gurus have an idea of what to expect in terms of flow for Saturday? It looks like the gauge is running around 2000 cfs, which I believe was the race day level last year. Thanks for any information or decent guesses.
-Ben
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Post by cdalton on Apr 19, 2018 20:21:09 GMT -5
The flow rate falls off with roughly constant exponential decline after a rain event. Last few hours it's been falling around 1.2% per hour. It's ~36 hours before race time, current level is 1860, so I'd say 1200 is a good guess. Some upside to that if this rain turns out to be more than sprinkles.
The most comparable recent year would be 2015 when the level was ~925cfs and Trevor was 2:08:29. I'd guess the winner this year will be a few minutes over two hours.
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Post by Ray Wirth on Apr 19, 2018 20:30:19 GMT -5
I agree that the Kenduskeag level on race day 2017 was about 2000 cfs and I concur with Chris's prediction of around 1200 cfs this year, and I think you, Ben, should run the fastest boat you have in your quiver! (Dust off that 9 footer would ya!)
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Post by ben on Apr 20, 2018 6:09:30 GMT -5
I suspected that Chris had already computed the data for this and was holding out on us. 1200 is much less than I would have anticipated after checking it on Thursday and hearing that it may rain.
Thanks for your insight.
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Post by Andy on Apr 20, 2018 15:38:04 GMT -5
Any idea how the right channel at six mile is looking this year?
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Post by cdalton on Apr 20, 2018 19:09:05 GMT -5
DK about that right channel, I always go left, force of habit.
Just read the pre race email brief from Parks&Rec. Very interesting about the option to combine the two mandatory portages. I wouldn't want to schlep a rec canoe that far, but for a light boat it might be faster, especially a yak with a fiddly skirt.
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